Standard, Fibonacci, and Camarilla Pivots: A Head-to-Head Comparison
Standard, Fibonacci, and Camarilla pivots apply different math to the same data; this head-to-head covers spacing, hit rates, and which setup suits each.
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Standard, Fibonacci, and Camarilla Pivots: A Head-to-Head Comparison
Standard, Fibonacci, and Camarilla pivots all start from the prior period's high, low, and close — but they space their levels differently and suit different setups.
Level spacing compared
Using a prior session with H=100, L=94, C=97 (range = 6):
- Standard (P = 97): R1 = 100, S1 = 94, R2 = 103, S2 = 91. Wide outer levels.
- Fibonacci (P = 97): R1 = 99.29, R2 = 100.71, R3 = 103. Even 0.382/0.618/1.000 spacing.
- Camarilla (C = 97): R3 = 98.65, R4 = 100.30, S3 = 95.35, S4 = 93.70. Levels cluster tight around the close.
Camarilla levels cluster tight around the close; Standard and Fibonacci spread wider.
Which to use when
| Setup | Best variant | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Intraday mean reversion | Camarilla | Tight levels; revert until R3/S3 break |
| Breakout day trading | Standard | Wide R2/S2 give room for trend days |
| Fib-aligned chart | Fibonacci | Matches existing Fib retracement levels |
| Range-bound FX session | Camarilla | Reversion to close is the edge |
| Trending session | Standard/Fibonacci | Outer levels act as targets |
Hit-rate considerations
- Camarilla R3/S3: price respects these roughly 70% of the time in range sessions — high reversion hit rate. But when price breaks R3/S3, the break tends to run to R4/S4 (breakout mode).
- Standard R1/S1: hit nearly every session because they sit closest. Useful as first targets, not reversals.
- Fibonacci R2/S2: hit rate similar to Standard but spacing suits traders already anchored to Fib grids; reduces conflicting levels.
Combining for confluence
The highest-probability levels occur where two variants agree within a small band:
- Standard R1 ≈ Fibonacci R1: a defended first resistance. Fade with tight stop.
- Camarilla R3 ≈ Standard R2: a confluence ceiling. Breaks here are high-conviction trend signals — trade with the break.
- Camarilla S3 ≈ Standard S1: confluence floor for longs.
Require levels within 0.2×ATR to count as confluence. Trade the confluence level with a stop just beyond and a target at the next confluence zone.
Practical decision
Use Camarilla as your default for intraday reversion in FX and index futures; switch to Standard on breakout sessions (price closes 2+ candles beyond Camarilla R3/S3). Keep Fibonacci on the chart only if your other analysis uses Fib — otherwise it adds noise. One variant as primary, one for confluence, never all three as separate trade triggers.
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