Standard, Fibonacci, and Camarilla Pivots: A Head-to-Head Comparison

Standard, Fibonacci, and Camarilla pivots all start from the prior period's high, low, and close — but they space their levels differently and suit different setups.

Level spacing compared

Using a prior session with H=100, L=94, C=97 (range = 6):

• Standard (P = 97): R1 = 100, S1 = 94, R2 = 103, S2 = 91. Wide outer levels.
• Fibonacci (P = 97): R1 = 99.29, R2 = 100.71, R3 = 103. Even 0.382/0.618/1.000 spacing.
• Camarilla (C = 97): R3 = 98.65, R4 = 100.30, S3 = 95.35, S4 = 93.70. Levels cluster tight around the close.

Camarilla levels cluster tight around the close; Standard and Fibonacci spread wider.

Which to use when

Hit-rate considerations

• Camarilla R3/S3: price respects these roughly 70% of the time in range sessions — high reversion hit rate. But when price breaks R3/S3, the break tends to run to R4/S4 (breakout mode).
• Standard R1/S1: hit nearly every session because they sit closest. Useful as first targets, not reversals.
• Fibonacci R2/S2: hit rate similar to Standard but spacing suits traders already anchored to Fib grids; reduces conflicting levels.

Combining for confluence

The highest-probability levels occur where two variants agree within a small band:

• Standard R1 ≈ Fibonacci R1: a defended first resistance. Fade with tight stop.
• Camarilla R3 ≈ Standard R2: a confluence ceiling. Breaks here are high-conviction trend signals — trade with the break.
• Camarilla S3 ≈ Standard S1: confluence floor for longs.

Require levels within 0.2×ATR to count as confluence. Trade the confluence level with a stop just beyond and a target at the next confluence zone.

Practical decision

Use Camarilla as your default for intraday reversion in FX and index futures; switch to Standard on breakout sessions (price closes 2+ candles beyond Camarilla R3/S3). Keep Fibonacci on the chart only if your other analysis uses Fib — otherwise it adds noise. One variant as primary, one for confluence, never all three as separate trade triggers.