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Affichage de 18 articles dans #market-phases

#market-phases

Market Seasonality: Sell in May, the Santa Rally, and the January Effect

Quantify calendar effects in equities — the November-April best six months, the Santa rally, and the January effect — and use them as tactical tilts.

#market-cycles#market-phases

Kondratiev Wave: The Long-Term Perspective on Markets and Debt

Understand the Kondratiev Wave's 50-60 year cycles of debt and technology, its four seasons, and the limitations of long-wave analysis for trading.

#market-cycles#market-phases

The Four-Stage Market Cycle: Accumulation, Markup, Distribution, Markdown

Identify the four market cycle stages — accumulation, markup, distribution, markdown — by volume signatures and where to participate profitably.

#market-cycles#market-phases

Economic Cycle and Asset Rotation: Early, Mid, Late, Recession

Map the four economic cycle phases to outperforming assets — early-cycle stocks and industrials, late-cycle commodities, and recession bonds.

#market-cycles#market-phases

Cycle Top and Bottom Identification Signals

Identify market cycle tops and bottoms using margin debt, distribution days, capitulation volume, sentiment extremes, and base formation signals.

#market-cycles#market-phases

Crypto Four-Year Cycle: The Halving Effect and Diminishing Returns

Examine Bitcoin's four-year halving cycle, pre- and post-halving returns across 2012-2024, and why each cycle shows diminishing percentage gains.

#market-cycles#market-phases

Credit Cycle and Risk Appetite: Spreads as a Leading Indicator

Track the credit cycle through high-yield OAS spreads and leverage ratios to gauge risk appetite and rotate between risk-on and risk-off regimes.

#market-cycles#market-phases

Wyckoff vs Elliott Wave vs Harmonic Patterns

Wyckoff, Elliott Wave, and Harmonic patterns are three of the most respected technical frameworks — here is how they differ, overlap, and combine.

#wyckoff#market-phases

Wyckoff Volume-Price Analysis Core Reading

Reading individual price/volume bars is the foundation skill of Wyckoff — learn the nine classic bar combinations and what each reveals about supply and demand.

#wyckoff#market-phases

Complete Wyckoff Trading System Workflow

A complete, step-by-step Wyckoff trading workflow — from market selection through schematic identification, entry, risk management, and exit.

#wyckoff#market-phases

Wyckoff's Three Laws: Supply/Demand, Cause/Effect, Effort/Result

Wyckoff's three laws — supply and demand, cause and effect, and effort versus result — are the analytical backbone of the entire method.

#wyckoff#market-phases

Spring and Upthrust (UTAD) Signals

The spring and the upthrust after distribution are the two highest-conviction Wyckoff entry triggers — learn their anatomy, variations, and how to trade them.

#wyckoff#market-phases