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テーマで絞り込む ✕ クリア (advanced)
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#advanced の記事を57件表示

#advanced

VaR and CVaR Calculation Methods and Their Limitations

VaR and CVaR calculation methods — historical, parametric, and Monte Carlo — with Python implementation and the specific limitations each method hides.

#advanced#risk-management

Three Soldiers and Three Crows: Filtering Rules for Valid Setups

Three White Soldiers and Three Black Crows fail often without filters; body-size, open-location, wick-ratio, and volume rules separate good setups from traps.

#candlesticks#advanced

Stress Testing and Scenario Analysis Construction Methods

Stress testing and scenario analysis construction covers historical replay, hypothetical shocks, and reverse stress testing with scenarios traders can run.

#advanced#risk-management

Kicker and Window (Gap) Candlestick Patterns

Kicker and Window are gap-based patterns: kicker signals sharp sentiment reversal with no overlap; the Japanese Window treats gaps as support and resistance.

#candlesticks#advanced

Harami vs Engulfing: Reversal Strength Comparison

Harami and engulfing both signal reversal, but engulfing shows immediate control while harami shows only a stall; strength, location, and entry rules differ.

#candlesticks#advanced

Hammer and Shooting Star Effectiveness in Trend Contexts

Hammer and shooting star effectiveness depends on trend context: a hammer in an uptrend pullback is high-probability continuation; in a downtrend it differs.

#candlesticks#advanced

Fibonacci Time Zones: Reading Vertical Time Projections

Fibonacci time zones project vertical lines at Fibonacci-number session intervals from a swing, and clustering three or more zones inside a five-session window flags high-probability time reversals.

#fibonacci#advanced

Fibonacci and Supply Demand Confluence: Stacking the Edge

A Fibonacci level inside a fresh supply or demand zone stacks two independent edges, and a three-step confluence rule lifts the win rate of these stacked setups above 65 percent in backtested data.

#fibonacci#advanced

Fibonacci Retracement Selection: When to Trade 38.2, 50, or 61.8

Choosing between 38.2, 50, and 61.8 retracements is not preference but context; a four-factor selection model ties each level to trend strength, structure, momentum, and volume.

#fibonacci#advanced

Fibonacci Misuse: Seven Subjective Drawing Errors to Eliminate

Fibonacci fails most often not because the ratios are wrong but because the trader draws the tool from the wrong swings, the wrong timeframe, or with anchors that shift; seven errors account for nearly all bad draws.

#fibonacci#advanced

Fibonacci Fans and Arcs: Applying Time-Price Geometry

Fibonacci fans and arcs add a time dimension to retracement analysis by projecting diagonal support and resistance lines and curved zones that flag reversals where price meets time.

#fibonacci#advanced

Fibonacci Extension Targets: Choosing Between 1.272, 1.618, and 2.618

The 1.272, 1.618, and 2.618 extensions are not three versions of the same target; each fits a specific trend strength, and matching the extension to the move prevents premature exits and greedy holds.

#fibonacci#advanced