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最新文章
法律结构：个体户、LLC 还是公司
个体户、LLC、公司结构的选择影响交易员的责任、税务和费用可抵扣性，475 条款选举是关键考量。
#trading-business#operations
Kelly Criterion：进阶与现实局限
Kelly criterion 最大化长期几何增长，但估计误差、参数不确定和回撤深度让分数 Kelly 成为现实选择。
#portfolio-theory#money-management
转向全职交易
转向全职交易需要足够的资金、被证明的优势、现金储备和书面计划，离职之前先备齐。
#trading-business#operations
设备、数据与软件成本控制
控住设备、数据和软件成本才能保住交易优势，因为每块钱开销都是要从毛利里赚回来的。
#trading-business#operations
分散：真实作用与局限
分散降低非系统性风险，但危机里相关性上升时收益缩水，而真正的回报往往来自集中。
#portfolio-theory#money-management
压力下的相关性崩溃
危机里资产相关性跳向 1，摧毁统计模型假设的分散，让亏损跨账本扎堆。
#risk-management#advanced
Conditional VaR 与 Expected Shortfall
Conditional VaR（Expected Shortfall）度量 VaR 阈值之外的平均亏损，修补 VaR 对尾部深度的盲区并满足一致性。
#risk-management#advanced
集中度风险与仓位上限
集中度风险发生在单一仓位、因子或策略主导组合结果时，仓位上限是抵御它的首要防线。
#risk-management#advanced
交易员的现金流管理
现金流管理确保交易业务在回撤期仍能覆盖开支，靠储备金、定期提取和利润留存三件套撑过坏年景。
#trading-business#operations
CAPM：给交易员的资本资产定价模型
CAPM 通过 beta 把资产预期收益和系统性风险挂钩，给交易员一个要求回报与风险调整绩效的基准。
#portfolio-theory#money-management
资本增长 vs 提取策略
在利润留存滚复利和提款过日子、分散投资之间找平衡，是交易业务最核心的财务决策。
#trading-business#operations
黑天鹅事件：交易应急预案
黑天鹅事件稀有、剧烈、不可预测，得靠事先定死的应急预案在恐慌决策之外活下来。
#risk-management#advanced