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最新文章
跨境交易合规要点：申报与限制
掌握跨境交易合规：FBAR 与 FATCA 门槛、PFIC 申报、Regulation S、做空限制、制裁筛查。
#regulation#compliance
跨境交易员税务考量：居民身份、税收协定与申报
应对跨境交易税务：税收居民身份破局规则、W-8BEN 协定税率、PFIC 规则、FBAR/FATCA 门槛、双重征税陷阱。
#taxes#compliance
信用周期与风险偏好：利差作为领先指标
通过高收益债 OAS 利差和杠杆率跟踪信用周期，衡量风险偏好，在风险偏好和风险规避行情之间轮动。
#market-cycles#market-phases
COT 周度解读框架
一套可重复的步骤化框架，用于解读每周 COT 报告，给持仓极值打分，把信号转化为带仓位的逆向交易。
#sentiment#positioning
配对交易中的相关性与协整
区分相关性与协整来做配对交易，跑 Engle-Granger 检验，估计半衰期，构建带进场规则的均值回归价差。
#statistics#quantitative
相关性崩塌与尾部风险对冲工具
相关性崩塌机制与尾部风险对冲，覆盖 VIX 看涨期权、虚值看跌期权和国债期货，附具体成本预算和触发阈值。
#advanced#risk-management
ABC 对比复杂修正：WXY、双三与三三详解
清晰的框架区分简单 ABC 锯齿、平台型修正与复杂 WXY 双三、三三修正，附标号和目标规则。
#elliott-wave#wave-theory
核心-卫星资金配置策略
核心-卫星配置策略把资金分到稳定核心和高置信卫星之间，附具体仓位规则和复盘触发点。
#portfolio-theory#money-management
回撤恢复数学：连亏的代价
回撤恢复表告诉你为什么亏 50% 需要赚 100% 才能回本，以及连亏如何把你必须爬出的坑越挖越深。
#risk-management#psychology
多周期复合 Volume Profile 分析
复合 Volume Profile 把多个交易日合并成一张直方图，暴露出单一交易日看不到的宏观价值区和 POC。
#market-profile#volume-profile
交易员的认知偏差：首因、确认与可得性
认清首因偏差、确认偏差和可得性偏差如何扭曲交易判断，并对每个入场和出场套用具体的去偏差规则。
#foundations#beginner
图表标注与交易计划模板工作流
一套纪律化的图表标注工作流，配上固定的六模块图上计划模板，把每个 setup 变成在交易发生处记录的预先承诺决策，消除压力下的即兴发挥。
#advanced-charting#tools